how the bruins stack up...and where i believe the problem lies
as i speak they are getting clobbered again 2-0 against buffalo....
i created earlier this week the nebermatrix number for players. i have run up each team in the div and here is every players number and their team averages and totals. remember the lower the number the better.
i created earlier this week the nebermatrix number for players. i have run up each team in the div and here is every players number and their team averages and totals. remember the lower the number the better.
| buffalo | montreal | ||
| JASON POMINVILLE | 10.56 | MICHAEL RYDER | 11.98 |
| THOMAS VANEK | 11.95 | SAKU KOIVU | 13.11 |
| CHRIS DRURY | 12.14 | G. LATENDRESSE | 13.15 |
| MAXIM AFINOGENOV | 12.86 | SHELDON SOURAY | 13.55 |
| ALES KOTALIK | 13.85 | CHRIS HIGGINS | 13.61 |
| DANIEL BRIERE | 15.71 | MAXIM LAPIERRE | 14.94 |
| JOCHEN HECHT | 16.08 | TOMAS PLEKANEC | 16.95 |
| DEREK ROY | 16.70 | ALEX KOVALEV | 18.22 |
| PAUL GAUSTAD | 18.41 | MIKE JOHNSON | 19.26 |
| DREW STAFFORD | 18.48 | ALEXANDER PEREZHOGIN | 21.57 |
| DANIEL PAILLE | 20.41 | MARK STREIT | 22.19 |
| JIRI NOVOTNY | 22.92 | RADEK BONK | 23.12 |
| BRIAN CAMPBELL | 30.54 | SERGEI SAMSONOV | 27.72 |
| HENRIK TALLINDER | 32.89 | STEVE BEGIN | 32.27 |
| JAROSLAV SPACEK | 33.99 | CRAIG RIVET | 32.86 |
| DMITRI KALININ | 49.79 | AARON DOWNEY | 41.14 |
| ADAM MAIR | 55.60 | FRANCIS BOUILLON | 43.59 |
| ANDREW PETERS | 78.52 | MICHAEL KOMISAREK | 43.61 |
| TONI LYDMAN | 110.26 | ANDREI MARKOV | 54.04 |
| NATHAN PAETSCH | 205.47 | MATHIEU DANDENAULT | 86.00 |
| TEPPO NUMMINEN | 326.32 | GARTH MURRAY | 140.02 |
| average | 43.25 | JANNE NIINIMAA | 268.59 |
| total of top 17 | 392.88 | average | 44.16 |
| total 12-17 | 304.25 | total of top 17 | 379.24 |
| top 11 | 88.63 | total 12-17 | 244.32 |
| top 11 | 134.92 | ||
| ottawa | toronto | ||
| DANY HEATLEY | 11.76 | MATS SUNDIN | 12.25 |
| DANIEL ALFREDSSON | 13.61 | DARCY TUCKER | 12.45 |
| MIKE FISHER | 13.96 | ALEXEI PONIKAROVSKY | 14.10 |
| MIKE COMRIE | 14.40 | NIK ANTROPOV | 15.13 |
| PATRICK EAVES | 14.41 | JEFF O'NEILL | 15.82 |
| DENIS HAMEL | 14.98 | JOHN POHL | 16.77 |
| ANTOINE VERMETTE | 15.00 | MATT STAJAN | 17.42 |
| CHRIS NEIL | 16.25 | BOYD DEVEREAUX | 18.47 |
| CHRIS KELLY | 16.29 | CHAD KILGER | 19.18 |
| JASON SPEZZA | 17.68 | ALEX STEEN | 19.25 |
| PETER SCHAEFER | 19.28 | BATES BATTAGLIA | 20.35 |
| DEAN MCAMMOND | 20.59 | TRAVIS GREEN | 22.75 |
| CHRISTOPH SCHUBERT | 24.60 | MICHAEL PECA | 24.11 |
| JOSEPH CORVO | 26.12 | TOMAS KABERLE | 28.41 |
| TOM PREISSING | 31.74 | BRYAN MCCABE | 29.46 |
| ANDREJ MESZAROS | 32.56 | CARLO COLAIACOVO | 29.81 |
| WADE REDDEN | 32.96 | PAVEL KUBINA | 30.53 |
| CHRIS PHILLIPS | 34.87 | HAL GILL | 52.37 |
| BRIAN MCGRATTAN | 59.81 | KYLE WELLWOOD | 52.55 |
| ANTON VOLCHENKOV | 311.35 | BRENDAN BELL | 56.64 |
| average | 37.11 | IAN WHITE | 58.41 |
| total of top 17 | 336.20 | BEN ONDRUS | 66.34 |
| total 12-17 | 203.44 | WADE BELAK | 84.75 |
| top 11 | 132.76 | ALEKSANDER SUGLOBOV | 110.19 |
| average | 31.19 | ||
| total of top 17 | 346.25 | ||
| total 12-17 | 217.44 | ||
| top 11 | 128.82 | ||
| boston | |||
| PATRICE BERGERON | 12.96 | ||
| MARC SAVARD | 13.40 | ||
| GLEN MURRAY | 16.42 | ||
| MARCO STURM | 17.02 | ||
| BRAD BOYES | 17.64 | ||
| WAYNE PRIMEAU | 18.18 | ||
| P.J. AXELSSON | 19.38 | ||
| PHIL KESSEL | 20.98 | ||
| STANISLAV CHISTOV | 21.57 | ||
| PETR TENKRAT | 26.13 | ||
| ZDENO CHARA | 27.42 | ||
| BRAD STUART | 28.86 | ||
| SHEAN DONOVAN | 29.40 | ||
| MARK MOWERS | 37.29 | ||
| PAUL MARA | 53.77 | ||
| MILAN JURCINA | 60.81 | ||
| JEFF HOGGAN | 95.46 | ||
| YAN STASTNY | 101.37 | ||
| JASON YORK | 169.79 | ||
| MATT LASHOFF | 226.00 | ||
| NATHAN DEMPSEY | 283.67 | ||
| ANDREW ALBERTS | 290.88 | ||
| average | 72.20 | ||
| total of top 17 | 516.71 | ||
| total 12-17 | 406.97 | ||
| top 11 | 109.73 |
posted by neb at Tuesday, January 30, 2007
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9 Comments:
quick summary - the bruins top 11 forwards are 2nd best in div - the rest of the team is very subpar.... esspecially the d-men...
by the way - i have been tweaking the calculation of the nebermatrix and i will probably continue to tweak it....so if these numbers are a little different than the ones from earlier in the week thats why... this post is for you to compare all of the players in our division as of today. remember games played does not matter the nebermatrix is a reflection of production per minute played.
Our D-Fence are pathetic. Except for Brad and Z
Of course this is heavily favoured to goal scoring defencmen, so take it with a grain of salt everyone.
Either way it still shows a weakness on the team and that is what is most important.
actually - i think treebob and i are going to continue to disagree on this one... i am not really looking at the nebermatrix number that is high as a bad thing like he is. the neber matrix number is essentially the number of minutes a player plays before he makes a positive effect on the outcome of the game. this does not mean that he is negativly effecting the team in these minutes - that would be a different calculation based on different stats. this soley reflects how long it takes for a player to do something positive.
that said the thing that effects the outcome of a game the more than anything is a goal, therefore goal scorers rate higher....
Hey Neb, can you explain that formula one more time?
ok ready - i calculate how many minutes per stat each player has:
for instance - glen murray averages 39.8 minutes of ice time per goal.
phil kessel steals a puck every 36.9 minutes of ice...ect
so i take these minutes per achievment numbers and factor each for my oppinion of importance to the outcome of the game - from lowest importance to highest:
pim, shot, four equal wieghted:hit, block, take, give, then assist and goal.
i then divide this down to make is a nice looking number that kind of correlates to what i percieve as the average number of minutes on the ice it takes each of the players to do something that effects the outcome of a game for the better for his team.
if someone has not recorded one of these stats i have to fudge it a little but this is nuance...
"four equal wieghted:hit, block, take, give, then assist and goal."
Neb, if the point is to consider positive impact only, then why include givaways?
this should actually probably read as a puck possession stat. what i am actually doing is subtracting for gives and adding for takes - does that make sense? i didnt think it was fair to give a player a huge bonus if he has a lot of steals while also giving it away a lot....
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